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DOLLARS
& CENTS - Another Good Year: Will It Ever End?
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| The promotional
products industry has hit the financial bulls eye so many times its almost
getting boring. Please dont get bored, though. The challenges are just beginning. Stop
us if you dont want to hear good news. Sales and profits in 1999 were up for both
distributors and suppliers often significantly so. Things were better in almost
every financial category. Suppliers and distributors are doing more business, are doing
better business, are making more money and are even shoring up once-intractable profit
margins.
Even competition and price-cutting reliable bogeymen in the distributor world
seem to have taken the year off. Will it ever end? The Puritan in us says yes, but
who knows? 1999 was certainly a record year, says Bob Lederer, president of
Prime Resources (asi/79530). And at the end of every year we wonder how were
going to beat this year. Its really extraordinary that things could be so
good, since more and more opponents to industry prosperity seem to be lining up on the
other side. The good times have grown hoary, as the economic expansion has become the
longest in the countrys history. The Federal Reserve Bank is on an increasingly
determined effort to slow the economy down by raising interest rates and, by extension,
the cost of doing business. (They do it to stop inflation, which is seen as worse than a
slow economy.) The Internet, moreover, is making it possible for a determined buyer to
find a manufacturer in almost every product category and is working to make pricing
transparent.
Craig Nadel, vice president of operations of Jack Nadel Inc. (asi/279600), was
especially surprised to find his companys margins had increased. I mean,
its good, I guess, but I would have thought that as information got cheaper and
easier, it would put a little bit of a downward pressure on everybodys
margins. |
| Budget Of The Average Supplier |
| Raw materials
|
22% |
| Production Staff Wages |
15% |
| Advertising/promotion
|
12% |
| Office staff
|
10% |
| Commissions/sales
salaries |
8% |
| Capital
investment/improvement |
8% |
| Trade shows |
7% |
| Employee benefits |
5% |
| Cost of samples |
4% |
| Entertainment |
2% |
| Research &
Development |
2% |
| Spoilage
|
2% |
| Staff Training |
1% |
Totals
dont equal 100% because of rounding.
Source: 2000 State of the Industry survey: Supplier Operations & Growth. |
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| Budget Of A Typical Distributor |
| Cost of goods
sold |
55% |
| Commissions/sales
salaries |
13% |
| Nonsales
payroll |
10% |
| Advertising/promotion
|
5% |
| Travel/entertainment
|
3% |
| Capital
investment/improvement |
3% |
| Cost of
samples |
2% |
| Employee
benefits |
2% |
| Trade shows |
1% |
| Other
|
7% |
The figures are for the median distributor, the distributor at the exact middle of the
pack. Totals add to more than 100 % because of rounding.
Source: 2000 State of the Industry survey: Distributor Operations & Growth. |
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|
Making The Specialty Suppliers were especially
keen on focusing on the making of their promotional products. One in six suppliers said
that the main reason their profits were up was that they increased their
manufacturing/decorating capabilities.
"Our key acquisition in 1999 was a different product
line we did go out and buy a completely different product, and that did help
us," Klee says. "And of course, weve added new products within our paper
and poly specialties realm and theyve done very well. Thats, in fact, where a
lot of the growth has come from in these new or larger distributors its from
new products."
Just under two-thirds of suppliers capital
improvement dollars went either for manufacturing or decorating. And these expenditures
were largely necessary because equipment had worn out. Two out of five suppliers said that
growing demand for their products was the main reason for new equipment.
"We do buy new equipment every year," Lederer
says, explaining that new equipment is necessary when youre constantly producing
more products. "And in 2000, weve bought more equipment than ever and created
space for it. So were postured for growth and anticipating it."
Just under a third of suppliers
manufacturing/decorating purchases were for new equipment incorporating the latest
technology. These suppliers are betting the big up-front cost of the new equipment will
quickly be recovered. "Weve put a lot of money into plant machinery and
equipment," Klee says, "and thats the reason I would say, yes, thats
why our profitability is up due to better equipment which has offset, naturally, a
material increase."
And yet, perhaps the greatest technology the industry has
at its disposal is its own creativity. "I think the most important thing is that
theres a great desire for new, innovative, unique items," says Gary Topper,
president of Concepts Etc. (asi/46190), explaining that offering his creativity to the
industry has caused his sales to increase immensely. |
Distributor Thumbnail
The typical distributor |
| Average
order: |
$845 |
| Annual
sales per client: average |
$13,000 |
|
median (50th percentile) |
$100 |
| Number of
clients: average |
969 |
|
median (50th percentile) |
100 |
| Number of
new clients: average |
9 |
|
median (50th percentile) |
30 |
| Average
retention rate: |
82% |
| Average
days for bills outstanding: |
36 |
Average
expenditures for advertising
and self promotion: |
$19,880 |
| Average
expenditures for sales training: |
$1,841 |
| Source: 2000
State of the Industry survey: Distributor Operations & Growth. |
|
Supplier Thumbnail
The typical supplier |
| Total
orders sold: |
14,032 |
| Total
units sold (in millions): |
7.1 |
| Reorder
rate: |
29% |
| Advertising
dollars: average |
$102,000 |
|
median (50th percentile) |
$50,000 |
| Capital
improvement dollars: average |
$216,000 |
|
median (50th percentile) |
$75,000 |
| Selling
expenses (of total sales): |
14% |
General
and administrative expenses
(of total sales): |
14% |
| Source: 2000 State of
the Industry survey: Supplier Operations & Growth. |
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Suppliers And Distributors:
Clients Getting Along One significant trend
borne out in this years numbers is the emergence of preferred vendor relationships
with distributors. Ten percent of suppliers cited these relationships as the main reason
their sales increased almost four times as many as last year.
Suppliers are finding they can tap rich veins of business
if they concentrate on their best customers. "Our increase this year has come from
our larger distributors, which would be those preferred distributors," Klee notes.
"Basically, weve been adding more salespeople in the field to have more of a
face-to-face meeting with large players in the industry." He says theyre doing
many more customer visitations, and thats the reason their numbers are up.
Of course, it works both ways. While suppliers credit their
relationships with distributors as the key to increasing sales, 14% of distributors
similarly attributed their sales volume increase to preferred vendor relationships with
clients.
Cheri Milan, owner of Southern Image LLC (asi/330461), says
shes done a variety of things to tighten that bond. But as simple as it may sound,
shes stuck to continually proving herself to supplier clients by just getting the
job done and her sales volume has quadrupled.
John Dayton of Foto Fabric Impressions (asi/55155) agrees.
"Business has been tremendous, and we attribute that to more exposure," he says.
"Weve been doing a lot more business with distributors thanks to the help of
ASI, which is bringing everyone together."
Distributors Tale: More! More! More!
Maybe the time will come when distributors will devise deft
strategies to get more business. But in 1999 it seemed things were pretty simple: Those
who did well succeeded because they sold more. Some 37% of distributors credited their
sales hike to an increase in their client base, and another 22% found that promotional
products were being used more. Still another 17% credited the buoyant national economy as
the main catalyst.
It seems everything was growing. The average dollar amount
for orders was bigger for 58% of distributors. And perhaps most surprisingly, profit
margins were up this year hitting 35% an important benchmark.
But just because business is coming easily to you doesnt
mean you can neglect the fundamentals, such as making sure youre getting all the
business you can from existing clients. Some business, for example, comes easily to Jarred
Voltz, sales manager for Imperial Promotion Inc. (asi/230435). Voltz has set up a computer
program where he can classify all his contacts. There are the call-ins referrals or
people whove seen his ad. Then there are the new clients people whove
purchased from him once or twice. Finally there are the old established clients. He
contacts just about everyone every three months, tailoring his approach to each group. He
might, for example, send along supplier specials to some established clients if he knows
they would like them. Even in a burgeoning economy, Voltz doesnt want to wait for
calls. "They call me because my ad is biggest," he says. "Next time,
someone elses ad could be bigger." |
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| How Long Will It Last? As astonishing as the latest numbers have been, it still doesnt
change the fact that the industry is in for an upheaval. In fact, many of the most
profound changes are likely to come after the industry goes through another recession, but
theyre coming nonetheless.
Almost everyone, for example, expects the industrys
profit margins to suffer in the long term. Even industry consultant Glen Holt
president of Certified Marketing Consultants Ltd. and a long-time champion of putting
margins first thinks selling on an "A" will soon be a thing of the past.
"Big corporate America will not allow traditional distributors to make the margins
they make," Holt says. "There is hardly any place where a business can ask for
and receive 50% margins."
Dont worry. That doesnt mean the demise of the
industry. In fact, Holt sees more partnering with clients and distributors, with clients
helping with or completely handling the financing of a deal. And we all know that if
clients pay up- front, it makes it easier to do a deal on a smaller margin.
Klee says he sees a bright future ahead for his company as
well as the industry in general. "We would expect to keep sales increases in the
double digits for the rest of 2000," he says "For 2001? You got me; but were
continuing to add new products which will be our [key to] increases for next year and
beyond."
Will the industry continue to do well?
"Absolutely," says Klee, "especially as the ad specialty industry and the
premium/incentive market continue to merge."
With the Internet bringing an entirely new way of doing
business for distributors, its inevitably going to be a tool for price-cutters and
direct-sellers as well. Savvy distributors are using it for prospecting and marketing. In
the long run, its going to mean a net gain for the average distributor.
Holt recalls how the fax machine (and then e-mail) sent a
shiver through many in the industry when they were first introduced. "Our industry is
so reluctant to change, and everything that has ever changed in this industry has brought
holy terror to everybody in it," says Holt. "Chicken Little is running around
hollering, The sky is falling. Theres always something thats
causing some kind of panic.
Theyre not looking at the fact that this is an
evolutionary industry. Were on the cusp of having an electronic methodology of
selling, from supplier to distributor to user. The changes that will be made in our
industry in the next 15 years will overshadow any changes made since the beginning of the
first advertising specialty being sold times ten."
Are you ready?
Connie OKane is senior writer and Danielle Suritis is
assistant editor of The Counselor. |
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